The holiday polling drought is over: PPP has a brand new poll showing Hillary leading by 3 points overall in the neck-and-neck state of New Hampshire. However, once again we see that actual Democrats are backing Hillary big time.
Things remain extremely close on the Democratic side, with Hillary Clinton at 47% to 44% for Bernie Sanders, and 3% for Martin O'Malley. There's an incredible divide between the Democrats and independents planning to vote in the primary- Clinton leads Sanders 55/36 with Democrats, but Sanders almost completely cancels that out with a 59/29 advantage among non-Democrats planning to vote in the primary. That's just one of several big dividers in the Democratic race- Clinton leads 51/38 with women while Sanders leads 50/42 with men, and Clinton leads 54/36 with seniors while Sanders is up 46/45 with everyone else.
Sanders is more broadly popular than Clinton, with an 85/8 favorability rating to her 69/24 standing. Clinton's supporters are a little more committed though with 68% of them saying they will definitely vote for her to 62% of Sanders' voters who say they're firmly with him.
So basically, if the Democratic faithful in New Hampshire turn out in force for Hillary more than independents turn out for Bernie, she will definitely win. And considering that the state's entire party establishment is supporting her, along with the vast majority of unions...I'd say she's got a pretty decent shot at locking down the nomination on February 9th.
Meanwhile on the GOP side, the clock keeps ticking and we keep laughing at their predicament: Trump still has a solid lead here and everyone else is clumped up way behind him..
Originally posted at HillaryHQ, an independent, progressive blog committed to the electing Hillary Clinton as the next President of the United States.